Meteorology Not Modelology™

Oscar Is Full Of Surprises As The Storm Becomes A Hurricane

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London, GB
3:09 pm, Feb 14, 2025
weather icon 42°C | °F
L: 41° H: 44°
scattered clouds
Humidity 57 %
Pressure 1025 hPa
Wind 12 mph SE
Wind Gust Wind Gust: 0 mph
Precipitation Precipitation: 0 inch
Dew Point Dew Point: 0°
Clouds Clouds: 45%
Rain Chance Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Snow: 0
Visibility Visibility: 6 mi
Air Quality Air Quality:
Sunrise Sunrise: 7:16 am
Sunset Sunset: 5:13 pm

Oscar is full of surprises today with the storm going from a 10% chance of form as of last night to now being a category one hurricane.  Oscar is a very small storm, which allows for the circulation to rapidly intensify in a short period of time.  However, these types of storms can collapse as quickly as they intensify if the atmospheric environment becomes unfavorable.  The window of favorable conditions will only last for another 12 hours.  Oscar will run into strong southwesterly shear and dry air via a trough over the Bahamas as a trough intensifies over the western Atlantic.  Oscar will be forced to move to the northeast by early next week and lift into the central Atlantic next week.  Oscar is no threat for the United States.

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